Automation index

Can AI do the work of a Customs agent?

A declaration and a classification come earlier. Opening a container, and smelling that something is off, do not.

It also does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

IS WORK OVER?

27%

AI or a robot can already do 27% of this job.

#69 / 103

Customs agent

Score = Σ (weight × saving). Weight is our estimate from frequency, not a time share published by O*NET. Saving is separate.

Weights are our estimate from O*NET frequency (FT). O*NET does not publish % of the week.

Task	Share	AI	Adds
Declarations, tariff class and documents. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	22%	48%	+10.6
Database hits, risk and selectivity. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	18%	40%	+7.2
Physical inspection of goods and container. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	16%	15%	+2.4
Interview the operator and write the record. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	16%	14%	+2.2
Fines, appeals and police coordination. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	14%	16%	+2.2
Judgment on fraud and sensitive goods. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	14%	18%	+2.5
Total	100%		27%

Modelled week 100% · Public evidence 0% · Estimate 100% · Confidence: Low

IS WORK OVER?

30%

#38 / 103

Economist

Score = Σ (weight × saving). Weight is our estimate from frequency, not a time share published by O*NET. Saving is separate.

Weights are our estimate from O*NET frequency (FT). O*NET does not publish % of the week.

Task	Share	AI	Adds
Clean data, estimate and produce tables. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	22%	52%	+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	18%	45%	+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	16%	22%	+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	16%	15%	+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	14%	12%	+1.7
Read the political context and data quality. Estimate No public source pins this saving. It is an estimate of the method.	14%	18%	+2.5
Total	100%		30%

Modelled week 100% · Public evidence 0% · Estimate 100% · Confidence: Low