IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Economist’s job can AI already do?

Pulling a dataset and a first chart is instant. Deciding which model holds, and explaining it to a ministry, is not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

Arborist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Assess, risk and the owner’s report.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Climb, prune and the anchor.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%8%+1.8
Controlled fell and the one over the cable.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Arisings, chipping and leaving it clean.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%28%+4.5
The neighbour, the permit and not entering their plot.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%18%+2.9
Not dropping it on the roof, and coming down whole.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%10%+1.4
Total100%19%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • crown work
  • climb
  • controlled fell
  • risk report
  • anchors
  • chipping
  • cables
  • felling permits

Sources for this job· O*NET 37-3013.00· ESCO/ISCO 6113

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