IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Economist’s job can AI already do?

Pulling a dataset and a first chart is instant. Deciding which model holds, and explaining it to a ministry, is not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

Carpenter

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%28%+2.5
Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%28%+2.5
Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

8%28%+2.2
Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

7%28%+2
Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%12%+0.7
Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%28%+1.7
Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

5%28%+1.4
Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

5%28%+1.4
Other less frequent tasks (weight estimated from frequency).
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

45%28%+12.6
Total100%27%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • install locks
  • work ergonomically
  • apply proofing membranes
  • cut insulation material to size
  • use shims
  • inspect construction supplies
  • manipulate glass
  • use measurement instruments
  • apply insulation strips
  • use safety equipment in construction

Sources for this job· O*NET 47-2031.00· ESCO/ISCO 7115

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