IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Economist’s job can AI already do?

Pulling a dataset and a first chart is instant. Deciding which model holds, and explaining it to a ministry, is not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

Excavator operator

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Set-out, levels and the machine log.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Dig, load and the batter that comes in.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

24%6%+1.4
Services, the blind pipe and stopping in time.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Maintenance, grease and the pin that snaps.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%28%+4.5
The labourer, the lorry and covering nobody.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Not breaking what is buried, and leaving a clean formation.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%10%+1.4
Total100%18%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • dig with excavator
  • load lorries
  • batters
  • buried services
  • set-out levels
  • grease the machine
  • formation
  • site GPS

Sources for this job· O*NET 47-2073.00· ESCO/ISCO 8342

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