IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Economist’s job can AI already do?

Pulling a dataset and a first chart is instant. Deciding which model holds, and explaining it to a ministry, is not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

HVAC technician

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

10%28%+2.8
Recommend, develop, or perform preventive or general maintenance procedures, such as cleaning, power-washing, or vacuuming equipment, oiling parts, or changing filters.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

8%28%+2.2
Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%28%+1.7
Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%12%+0.7
Repair or replace defective equipment, components, or wiring.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%12%+0.7
Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

5%12%+0.6
Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

5%55%+2.8
Install, connect, or adjust thermostats, humidistats, or timers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

4%28%+1.1
Other less frequent tasks (weight estimated from frequency).
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

50%28%+14
Total100%27%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • refrigerants
  • electric heating systems
  • hydraulics
  • thermodynamics
  • fluid mechanics
  • domestic cooling systems
  • electricity
  • electrical wiring plans
  • mechanics
  • work ergonomically

Sources for this job· O*NET 49-9021.00· ESCO/ISCO 7127

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