IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Economist’s job can AI already do?

Pulling a dataset and a first chart is instant. Deciding which model holds, and explaining it to a ministry, is not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

Payroll clerk

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Starters, variables and the engine.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%48%+8.6
Incidents, the missed day and overtime.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%40%+6.4
Social security, tax and the month’s return.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Query, the payslip and the one who does not get it.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%28%+4.5
The close, the rush and not paying twice.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%14%+2.5
Pay right, and not leaving anyone at zero.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Total100%27%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • payroll starters
  • variables
  • income tax
  • social security
  • payslips
  • overtime
  • payroll close
  • incidents

Sources for this job· O*NET 43-3051.00· ESCO/ISCO 4313

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