IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Carpenter

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%28%+2.5
Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%28%+2.5
Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

8%28%+2.2
Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

7%28%+2
Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%12%+0.7
Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

6%28%+1.7
Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

5%28%+1.4
Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

5%28%+1.4
Other less frequent tasks (weight estimated from frequency).
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

45%28%+12.6
Total100%27%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • install locks
  • work ergonomically
  • apply proofing membranes
  • cut insulation material to size
  • use shims
  • inspect construction supplies
  • manipulate glass
  • use measurement instruments
  • apply insulation strips
  • use safety equipment in construction

Sources for this job· O*NET 47-2031.00· ESCO/ISCO 7115

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