IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Cider maker

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Apple, mill and the must.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%40%+6.4
Press, ferment and the one that sours.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%14%+2.5
Rack, the gas and the pour point.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%28%+4.5
The cellar, this year’s cider and the bar.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
The festival, the public and not tapping early.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%18%+3.2
At the point, and not selling the sour.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Total100%22%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • mill apples
  • the press
  • ferment cider
  • pour from height
  • rack
  • the cider bar
  • must
  • barrels

Sources for this job· O*NET 51-9012.00· ESCO/ISCO 8160

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