IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Construction laborer

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

12%28%+3.4
Dig ditches or trenches, backfill excavations, or compact and level earth to grade specifications, using picks, shovels, pneumatic tampers, or rakes.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

10%28%+2.8
Grind, scrape, sand, or polish surfaces, such as concrete, marble, terrazzo, or wood flooring, using abrasive tools or machines.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

10%28%+2.8
Signal equipment operators to facilitate alignment, movement, or adjustment of machinery, equipment, or materials.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

10%28%+2.8
Install sewer, water, or storm drain pipes, using pipe-laying machinery or laser guidance equipment.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%28%+2.5
Lubricate, clean, or repair machinery, equipment, or tools.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

8%12%+1
Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

8%55%+4.4
Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

7%28%+2
Other less frequent tasks (weight estimated from frequency).
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

26%28%+7.3
Total100%29%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • install wood elements in structures
  • apply finish to concrete
  • inspect masonry work
  • check compatibility of materials
  • dig soil mechanically
  • pour concrete
  • transport construction supplies
  • operate digging construction equipment
  • work in a construction team
  • inspect construction supplies

Sources for this job· O*NET 47-2061.00· ESCO/ISCO 9313

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