IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Detective

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search records, cameras and files.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%42%+8.4
Reports, timelines and court requests.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%35%+5.6
Surveillance, interviews and the scene.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%12%+2.2
Weigh a witness and a false lead.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%10%+1.6
Coordinate with prosecutors and units.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%14%+2.2
Decide the next step and keep the file closed.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Total100%22%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • police report
  • patrol
  • identify a person
  • Search records, cameras and files
  • Reports, timelines and court requests
  • Surveillance, interviews and the scene
  • Weigh a witness and a false lead
  • Coordinate with prosecutors and units
  • detective
  • investigador privado

Sources for this job· O*NET 33-3021.00· ESCO/ISCO 5412

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