IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Pediatrician

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury in infants and children.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

11%28%+3.1
Treat children who have minor illnesses, acute and chronic health problems, and growth and development concerns.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

11%28%+3.1
Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

11%28%+3.1
Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

11%12%+1.3
Advise patients, parents or guardians, and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

10%12%+1.2
Examine patients or order, perform, and interpret diagnostic tests to obtain information on medical condition and determine diagnosis.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%12%+1.1
Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

9%12%+1.1
Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

7%12%+0.8
Other less frequent tasks (weight estimated from frequency).
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

21%28%+5.9
Total100%21%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • manage research data
  • operate open source software
  • demonstrate disciplinary expertise
  • think abstractly
  • manage personal professional development
  • synthesise information
  • develop own practices continuously

Sources for this job· O*NET 29-1221.00· ESCO/ISCO 2211

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