IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Referee

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Reports, match sheets and clip review.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Desk fitness prep and the laws.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%28%+3.9
Run the match on the field.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

26%5%+1.3
Handle protests, VAR and pressure.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%8%+1.3
Travel, appointments and fatigue.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Judgment, consistency and authority.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%15%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Reports, match sheets and clip review
  • Desk fitness prep and the laws
  • Run the match on the field
  • Handle protests, VAR and pressure
  • Travel, appointments and fatigue
  • Judgment, consistency and authority
  • arbitro
  • referee
  • colegiado

Sources for this job· O*NET 27-2023.00· ESCO/ISCO 3422

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