IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Security guard

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Logs, tagged rounds and digital access.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Cameras, control rooms and written protocols.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%22%+3.1
Presence, rounds and physical control.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%8%+1.8
Incidents, ID checks and citizen’s arrest.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%8%+1.4
Dealing with client, neighbour and police.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Night shifts, fatigue and judgment.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Total100%16%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Logs, tagged rounds and digital access
  • Presence, rounds and physical control
  • Incidents, ID checks and citizen’s arrest
  • Dealing with client, neighbour and police
  • Night shifts, fatigue and judgment
  • vigilante
  • security guard
  • guardia de seguridad

Sources for this job· O*NET 33-9032.00· ESCO/ISCO 5414

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