IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

University professor

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Prep materials, tests and rubrics.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Papers, grants and reviews.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%38%+6.1
Teach and tutor.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%12%+2.4
Supervise theses and examine.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Department meetings and academic admin.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Actually research and choose the problem.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Total100%24%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • teach class
  • mark students
  • lesson plans
  • teach
  • Prep materials, tests and rubrics
  • Papers, grants and reviews
  • Teach and tutor
  • Supervise theses and examine
  • Department meetings and academic admin
  • Actually research and choose the problem

Sources for this job· O*NET 25-1081.00· ESCO/ISCO 2310

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