IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Historian’s job can AI already do?

A corpus and a chronology come earlier. Going to the archive, reading the hand, and deciding what is a fact do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Historian

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Search, transcribe and sort sources.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

20%45%+9
Draft chapters, cards and bibliography.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%38%+6.8
Archive work and source criticism.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%15%+2.7
Argue the thesis and debate peers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%12%+1.9
Teaching, outreach and museums.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%16%+2.2
Choose the cut and the question.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%14%+2
Total100%25%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Search, transcribe and sort sources
  • Draft chapters, cards and bibliography
  • Archive work and source criticism
  • Argue the thesis and debate peers
  • Teaching, outreach and museums
  • Choose the cut and the question
  • historiador
  • historian

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3093.00· ESCO/ISCO 2633

Wildland firefighter

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Logs, map and the day’s attack plan.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Line, hose-lay and the spot fire.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

24%6%+1.4
Tools, pump and the water that does not arrive.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%18%+2.9
Night watch, lookout and the flare-up.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Coordinate aircraft and the command post.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%28%+3.9
Get out whole and leave nobody behind.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%10%+1.4
Total100%18%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • fight wildfires
  • cut line
  • lay hose
  • night watch
  • portable pump
  • air assets
  • fire-front map
  • spot fires

Sources for this job· O*NET 33-2022.00· ESCO/ISCO 5411

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