IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Kayak guide’s job can AI already do?

A flow report comes earlier. Taking the group without flipping in the rapid do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Kayak guide

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Flow, kit and the briefing.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Water, the novice and the one who flips.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%8%+1.8
Rescue, the rope and not losing anyone.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Rapid, the yes or no and aborting.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%28%+4.5
The cold, the wetsuit and not pushing the grade.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%18%+2.9
Without flipping the group, and whole to the take-out.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Total100%19%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • flow
  • river rescue
  • rapids
  • wetsuit
  • kayak novices
  • rope
  • river briefing
  • flip

Sources for this job· O*NET 39-7011.00· ESCO/ISCO 5113

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

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