IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Probation officer’s job can AI already do?

A reporting calendar comes earlier. Stopping reoffending and calling it when it turns do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Probation officer

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
The order plan, reporting and the conditions.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%40%+6.4
Visit, interview and what they do not say.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%14%+2.5
Reports to the judge and the breach.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Network, work and the resource that is not there.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%28%+4.5
The victim, the offender and not mixing roles.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%18%+3.2
Call it in time, and not dressing the follow-up.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%14%+2.2
Total100%24%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • probation
  • order plan
  • reports to the judge
  • breach of conditions
  • follow-up visits
  • sentence conditions
  • reoffending
  • periodic reporting

Sources for this job· O*NET 21-1092.00· ESCO/ISCO 2635

Economist

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Clean data, estimate and produce tables.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

22%52%+11.4
Draft notes, briefs and a first paper.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%45%+8.1
Choose model, assumptions and robustness.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Present to a client, ministry or board.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%15%+2.4
Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%12%+1.7
Read the political context and data quality.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%18%+2.5
Total100%30%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • Clean data, estimate and produce tables
  • Draft notes, briefs and a first paper
  • Choose model, assumptions and robustness
  • Present to a client, ministry or board
  • Debate, peer-review and defend the numbers
  • economista
  • economist

Sources for this job· O*NET 19-3011.00· ESCO/ISCO 2631

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