IS WORK OVER?

Automation index

How much of a Wildland firefighter’s job can AI already do?

A fire-front map comes earlier. Going onto the slope with the wind against you do not.

This percentage does not predict how many people will lose their jobs.

Task comparison

Wildland firefighter

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Logs, map and the day’s attack plan.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Line, hose-lay and the spot fire.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

24%6%+1.4
Tools, pump and the water that does not arrive.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%18%+2.9
Night watch, lookout and the flare-up.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%22%+3.5
Coordinate aircraft and the command post.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%28%+3.9
Get out whole and leave nobody behind.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

14%10%+1.4
Total100%18%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • fight wildfires
  • cut line
  • lay hose
  • night watch
  • portable pump
  • air assets
  • fire-front map
  • spot fires

Sources for this job· O*NET 33-2022.00· ESCO/ISCO 5411

Software architect

Where the time goes

Task weights are our estimates based on O*NET frequency data, not time shares published by O*NET.

The time saving for each task is estimated separately.

TaskShareAIPoints
Diagrams, ADRs and proofs of concept.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%40%+7.2
Review PRs, APIs and boundaries.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%32%+5.1
Team, product and trade-offs.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

18%22%+4
Big incidents and technical debt.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%18%+2.9
Security, cost and observability.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%16%+2.6
Not designing a castle nobody can run.
Estimate

No public source provides a precise figure. This is our estimate.

16%14%+2.2
Total100%24%

Modelled workweek: 100% · Public evidence: 0% · Estimate: 100% · Confidence: Low

Skills and activities

  • write code
  • programming
  • software development
  • coding
  • debug code
  • building plans
  • renders
  • sign a project
  • Diagrams, ADRs and proofs of concept
  • Review PRs, APIs and boundaries

Sources for this job· O*NET 15-1252.00· ESCO/ISCO 2511

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